Vietnamvs
Philippines
COMPLETEDWorld · FIFA Asean Cup · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vietnam 1-0 Philippines
Original prediction
Vietnam
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.5% | 45.4% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 20.1% | 26.5% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 6.82 | 13.4% | 28.2% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VietnamDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PhilippinesLLWLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VietnamPhilippines
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.49xG1.26