FriendliesFriendlies
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:34
Vietnam

Vietnam

Home
W
40
Full time
Myanmar

Myanmar

Away
L
Thai Nguyen Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Myanmar33%
Vietnam33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Vietnam
33%
Draw
33%
Myanmar
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vietnam
73
Myanmar
34
Defence
Vietnam
66
Myanmar
0
Momentum
Vietnam
100
Myanmar
0
Danger (xG)
Vietnam
1.80
Myanmar
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.71 xG for Vietnam and 1.09 xG for Myanmar — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Myanmar holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.80 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Vietnam)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Myanmar)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vietnam)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Myanmar)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VietnamVietnam
W
MyanmarMyanmar
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Vietnam33%
Draw33%
Myanmar33%

Myanmar leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Vietnam Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Vietnam take on Myanmar in Friendlies.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.71 for Vietnam and 1.09 for Myanmar. The gap of 0.62 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows null have won 4 of the last 5 meetings — a competitive history that suggests null's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • Vietnam have been conceding 2.36 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Vietnam

Vietnam

W
vs Gangwon FC
13 Jul 2026
21
Myanmar

Myanmar

L
@ Philippines
9 Jun 2026
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vietnam vs Myanmar?

GoalVio's model predicts Vietnam to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vietnam vs Myanmar?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Vietnam vs Myanmar?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vietnam vs Myanmar?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more