Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Vietnam are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Myanmar are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vietnam hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.1% in the ASEAN Championship, while Vietnam holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
85.1%
Model confidence
85.1%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33