Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Vietnam are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Indonesia are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vietnam hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the ASEAN Championship, while Vietnam holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
76.3%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50