Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Vietnam are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cambodia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Vietnam hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the ASEAN Championship, while Vietnam holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
80.8%
Model confidence
10.2%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20