Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Odranci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Videm 3-3 Odranci
Original prediction
Odranci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.0% | 26.4% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.1% | 21.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.0% | 52.4% | 16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Odranci
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Odranci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VidemWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OdranciWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VidemOdranci
53.3Attack100.0
20.0Defence53.3
40.0Form100.0
41.1Power87.5
1.52xG2.96