Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Videm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Videm 2-3 Dobrovce
Original prediction
Videm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.5% | 52.4% | -17.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 17.1% | 22.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 6.73 | 13.4% | 24.9% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Videm
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Videm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VidemLWLLW
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DobrovceLLLDL
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
VidemDobrovce
44.4Attack22.2
11.1Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
33.8Power13.9
2.12xG1.43