Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vidar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vidar are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Vard are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Vidar hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vidar holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vidar
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Vidar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00