Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vidar 1-3 Mjondalen
Original prediction
Mjondalen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.84 | 15.5% | 28.1% | 12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 18.8% | 25.3% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.7% | 46.6% | -19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VidarWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MjondalenWWLLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VidarMjondalen
33.3Attack100.0
44.4Defence33.3
44.4Form100.0
43.8Power80.3
1.41xG1.78