Vidarvs
Lysekloster
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lysekloster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vidar 0-2 Lysekloster
Original prediction
Lysekloster
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.3% | 30.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 24.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.8% | 44.4% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lysekloster
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Lysekloster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40