Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brattvåg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (12%), 0-4 (11%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vidar 1-3 Brattvåg
Original prediction
Brattvåg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.44 | 10.7% | 14.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.71 | 15.8% | 17.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 73.4% | 68.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–312%
- 2.0–411%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Brattvåg
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
68.1%
Brattvåg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VidarLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrattvågWWWLL
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VidarBrattvåg
30.3Attack71.2
9.1Defence57.6
15.2Form68.2
22.7Power66.2
0.74xG3.82