GGOALVIO

Vida logoVidavsLobos Upnfm logoLobos Upnfm

COMPLETED

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/26/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lobos Upnfm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vida are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Lobos Upnfm are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLWD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vida hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Liga Nacional, while Lobos Upnfm holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lobos Upnfm

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Lobos Upnfm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VidaDLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.50/2.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Lobos UpnfmWLWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
VidaLobos Upnfm
37.7Attack16.7
30.7Defence50.0
28.9Form16.7
34.7Power31.3
1.16xG1.58
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