Victoriano Arenasvs
Lugano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 4/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Victoriano Arenas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lugano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20