GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Victoriano Arenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Victoriano Arenas 0-0 Argentino Rosario, with an exact score probability of 35%.

Prediction record

Final result

Victoriano Arenas 1-1 Argentino Rosario

Original prediction

Victoriano Arenas

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9845.4%43.4%-2.0 pts
Draw2.9131.0%36.9%5.9 pts
Away3.8223.6%19.7%-3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.0 pts

Projected Score

Victoriano Arenas 0–0 Argentino Rosario

Exact score probability: 35%

Predicted outcome

Victoriano Arenas

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Victoriano Arenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Victoriano ArenasDWLDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Argentino RosarioDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Victoriano ArenasArgentino Rosario
25.6Attack30.8
80.8Defence59.0
46.2Form28.2
53.1Power41.7
0.70xG0.37
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