Victoria Wrześniavs
Noteć Czarnków
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Noteć Czarnków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Września 0-1 Noteć Czarnków
Original prediction
Noteć Czarnków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.9% | 33.4% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 25.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.7% | 41.1% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Noteć Czarnków
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Noteć Czarnków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20