Victoria Wrześniavs
Grom Nowy Staw
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Victoria Września · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Września 1-0 Grom Nowy Staw
Original prediction
Victoria Września
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.5% | 37.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 26.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.5% | 36.1% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Victoria Września
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Victoria Września has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60