Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olancho · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Victoria are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Olancho are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Olancho hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Liga Nacional, while Olancho holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olancho
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Olancho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80