GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/13/2023, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Victoria are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CD Olimpia are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Olimpia hold a 49.3-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Olimpia

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VictoriaDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
CD OlimpiaLWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
VictoriaCD Olimpia
36.1Attack83.3
50.0Defence83.3
34.3Form100.0
42.3Power91.7
0.85xG1.65
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