GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/2/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Victoria Sulejówek are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Victoria SulejówekWLWDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Unia SkierniewiceWLDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Victoria SulejówekUnia Skierniewice
40.2Attack76.5
52.9Defence54.9
40.2Form63.7
46.2Power63.6
1.12xG2.11
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