GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/12/2025, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Victoria Sulejówek are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Broń Radom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Victoria SulejówekDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Broń RadomWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Victoria SulejówekBroń Radom
40.2Attack38.2
52.9Defence57.8
40.2Form47.1
46.2Power49.1
1.09xG1.01
View match centre →