GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/28/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Victoria Sulejówek are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Broń Radom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Victoria SulejówekLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Broń RadomWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Victoria SulejówekBroń Radom
40.2Attack38.2
52.9Defence57.8
40.2Form47.1
46.2Power49.1
1.09xG1.01
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