Victoria Rosportvs
US Hostert
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
US Hostert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Rosport 0-2 US Hostert
Original prediction
US Hostert
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.8% | 35.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 23.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.2% | 41.1% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
US Hostert
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
US Hostert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00