Victoria Rosportvs
Résidence Walferdange
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Résidence Walferdange · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Rosport 4-1 Résidence Walferdange
Original prediction
Résidence Walferdange
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.8% | 32.1% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 18.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.1% | 49.3% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Résidence Walferdange
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Résidence Walferdange has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40