Victoria Rosportvs
FC Differdange 03
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Differdange 03 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (11%), 0-4 (10%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Rosport 3-5 FC Differdange 03
Original prediction
FC Differdange 03
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.98 | 8.3% | 7.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.90 | 15.4% | 11.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 76.4% | 80.9% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–311%
- 2.0–410%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
FC Differdange 03
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
80.9%
FC Differdange 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 3.80/0.40