Victoria Hotspursvs
Swieqi United
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swieqi United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Hotspurs 1-2 Swieqi United
Original prediction
Swieqi United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.6% | 36.5% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 25.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.4% | 38.3% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Swieqi United
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Swieqi United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80