GGOALVIO

Malta · Challenge League · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Victoria Hotspurs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Victoria Hotspurs 3-0 St. Andrews

Original prediction

Victoria Hotspurs

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9247.2%43.1%-4.1 pts
Draw3.5525.5%27.8%2.4 pts
Away3.3127.3%29.1%1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Victoria Hotspurs

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Victoria Hotspurs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Victoria HotspursNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
St. AndrewsLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Victoria HotspursSt. Andrews
50.0Attack38.7
50.0Defence53.3
50.0Form37.3
50.0Power44.4
1.52xG1.03
View match centre →