Victoria Hotspursvs
Fgura United
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Victoria Hotspurs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Hotspurs 0-3 Fgura United
Original prediction
Victoria Hotspurs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.2% | 42.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 26.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.0% | 31.4% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Victoria Hotspurs
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Victoria Hotspurs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20