Victoria Hamburgvs
Teutonia Ottensen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 10/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Victoria Hamburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 5-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Victoria Hamburg 2-2 Teutonia Ottensen
Original prediction
Victoria Hamburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 04:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.2% | 54.3% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 22.6% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.0% | 23.0% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.5–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Victoria Hamburg
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Victoria Hamburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60