GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Victoria Hamburg are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Paloma are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paloma hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Paloma holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paloma

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Paloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Victoria HamburgWWLL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.75/2.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
PalomaLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Victoria HamburgPaloma
55.6Attack100.0
11.1Defence44.4
44.4Form66.7
40.1Power68.7
2.03xG2.84
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