GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vicenza Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vicenza Virtus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Vicenza Virtus holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vicenza Virtus

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Vicenza Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vicenza VirtusWWDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vicenza VirtusPro Patria
45.6Attack32.5
73.7Defence55.3
62.3Form40.4
61.9Power45.1
1.38xG0.44
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