GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vicenza Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vicenza Virtus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pergolettese are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Vicenza Virtus holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vicenza Virtus

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Vicenza Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vicenza VirtusDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vicenza VirtusPergolettese
45.6Attack38.6
73.7Defence56.1
62.3Form39.5
61.9Power45.8
1.35xG0.53
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