GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/16/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vicenza Virtus are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Padova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vicenza VirtusLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PadovaWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vicenza VirtusPadova
45.6Attack48.2
73.7Defence75.4
62.3Form67.5
61.9Power64.8
0.71xG0.70
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