GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/13/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vicenza Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vicenza Virtus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Novara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Vicenza Virtus holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vicenza Virtus

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

Vicenza Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vicenza VirtusDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovaraLDWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vicenza VirtusNovara
45.6Attack34.2
73.7Defence57.0
62.3Form37.7
61.9Power45.4
1.33xG0.47
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