Vicenza Virtusvs
Mantova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/8/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Vicenza Virtus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00