GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vicenza Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vicenza Virtus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lumezzane are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Vicenza Virtus holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vicenza Virtus

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Vicenza Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vicenza VirtusWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LumezzaneWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vicenza VirtusLumezzane
45.6Attack43.0
73.7Defence57.9
62.3Form46.5
61.9Power50.8
1.28xG0.60
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