Vicenza Virtusvs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/30/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Vicenza Virtus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20