Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viborg · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Viborg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kalmar FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viborg hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Viborg holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viborg
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
12.2%
Viborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60