GGOALVIO

Denmark · Superliga · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Viborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Viborg 1-2 FC Midtjylland

Original prediction

Viborg

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7434.0%40.6%6.6 pts
Draw3.6325.7%26.5%0.8 pts
Away2.3140.3%32.9%-7.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Viborg

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Viborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ViborgWLWLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC MidtjyllandDWDWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ViborgFC Midtjylland
56.7Attack63.3
73.3Defence66.7
66.7Form73.3
65.8Power69.9
1.21xG0.98
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