Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Vianense are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Varzim are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Varzim hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60