VGTU Vilkaivs
BFA
COMPLETEDLithuania · Cup · 4/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
VGTU Vilkai are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while BFA are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and BFA hold a 58.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Cup, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFA
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
7.3%
BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20