GGOALVIO

VGTU Vilkai logoVGTU VilkaivsBFA logoBFA

COMPLETED

Lithuania · Cup · 4/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

VGTU Vilkai are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while BFA are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and BFA hold a 58.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Cup, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BFA

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

7.3%

BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VGTU VilkaiLWLWL

GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
BFADLWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VGTU VilkaiBFA
0.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form75.0
7.0Power65.5
1.85xG2.92
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