GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stuttgarter Kickers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

VfR Mannheim 2-0 Stuttgarter Kickers

Original prediction

Stuttgarter Kickers

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.6624.6%33.7%9.1 pts
Draw4.5319.9%27.3%7.4 pts
Away1.6255.5%39.1%-16.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Stuttgarter Kickers

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Stuttgarter Kickers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfR MannheimWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Stuttgarter KickersWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VfR MannheimStuttgarter Kickers
51.9Attack63.3
66.7Defence56.7
51.9Form66.7
57.7Power64.6
1.43xG1.27
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