GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC 08 Homburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

VfR Mannheim are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC 08 Homburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC 08 Homburg hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (11.0 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC 08 Homburg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC 08 Homburg

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

61.4%

FC 08 Homburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfR MannheimDWWWW

GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC 08 HomburgWWDLD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VfR MannheimFC 08 Homburg
13.3Attack70.4
0.0Defence70.4
0.0Form66.7
11.0Power68.5
0.75xG3.15
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