VfL Wolfsburg Wvs
Werder Bremen W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Wolfsburg W 3-2 Werder Bremen W
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 66.8% | 46.3% | -20.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 18.8% | 24.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 6.21 | 14.4% | 29.4% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg W
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
VfL Wolfsburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00