VfL Wolfsburg Wvs
Sturm Graz W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Wolfsburg W 6-1 Sturm Graz W
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 88.9% | 54.5% | -34.5 pts |
| Draw | 11.89 | 7.7% | 22.8% | 15.1 pts |
| Away | 27.29 | 3.4% | 22.7% | 19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-34.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg W
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
VfL Wolfsburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00