GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 8/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfL Wolfsburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

VfL Wolfsburg W 2-0 Inter Milano W

Original prediction

VfL Wolfsburg W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3566.7%40.9%-25.8 pts
Draw4.8518.6%23.1%4.5 pts
Away6.1114.7%36.0%21.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-25.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–28%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

VfL Wolfsburg W

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

VfL Wolfsburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfL Wolfsburg WWWLWW

GF 18 · GA 11 · avg 3.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Inter Milano WWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VfL Wolfsburg WInter Milano W
50.0Attack83.3
16.7Defence50.0
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power59.3
1.80xG2.28
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