VfL Wolfsburg Wvs
Hamburger SV W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/4/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Wolfsburg W 2-1 Hamburger SV W
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 82.0% | 60.2% | -21.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.95 | 11.3% | 19.6% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 13.45 | 6.7% | 20.2% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg W
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
VfL Wolfsburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20