VfL Wolfsburg Wvs
FC Koln W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Wolfsburg W 3-0 FC Koln W
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 71.0% | 61.5% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.16 | 17.3% | 19.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 7.65 | 11.7% | 19.3% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg W
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
VfL Wolfsburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60