VfL Wolfsburgvs
SV Darmstadt 98
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Wolfsburg 5-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 63.3% | 58.2% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 20.1% | 21.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.65 | 16.5% | 19.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
VfL Wolfsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40