VfL Wolfsburgvs
Havelse
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Wolfsburg 4-1 Havelse
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 78.2% | 41.0% | -37.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.61 | 13.8% | 22.3% | 8.5 pts |
| Away | 11.43 | 8.0% | 36.7% | 28.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
VfL Wolfsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20