VfL Wolfsburgvs
Energie Cottbus
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Wolfsburg 4-4 Energie Cottbus
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 70.9% | 58.0% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.32 | 17.6% | 21.7% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 8.10 | 11.6% | 20.4% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
VfL Wolfsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80